Hong Kong GDP Forecast Raised as AI and Capital Markets Drive Growth

Hong Kong GDP is forecast to expand by 4.3% in 2026 as artificial intelligence investment, recovering capital markets and stronger domestic demand support the city's economic outlook, according to Standard Chartered.

Senior economist Tommy Wu said Hong Kong is well positioned to benefit from Asia's AI-driven investment cycle through its logistics and trading sectors, noting that more than 70% of electronic products imported into mainland China pass through Hong Kong.

Recovering initial public offerings and stronger spending by mainland Chinese visitors are also expected to support growth.

Chief economist Ding Shuang forecast mainland China's economy would expand by at least 4.5% during the second half of 2026 and 4.6% for the full year, with additional fiscal stimulus likely if required.

The bank expects improving capital, labour and property markets to reinforce consumer confidence and strengthen Hong Kong's broader economic recovery.