China 2026 Growth Target Likely to Remain at 5% Amid Policy Support

China is expected to maintain a China 2026 growth target of around 5%, according to government advisers and analysts, a goal requiring continued fiscal and monetary support as authorities attempt to counter deflation pressures and a prolonged property slump.

Most advisers surveyed by Reuters favoured a 5% target, though some suggested a 4.5%–5.0% range.

The target is likely to be endorsed at the Central Economic Work Conference later this month, ahead of confirmation at the annual National People’s Congress in March.

Advisers said the budget-deficit ratio should remain at 4% of GDP or slightly higher, following a record level this year.

Citi expects the central bank to resume easing as early as January 2026, reinforcing policy support for the China 2026 growth target.