China 2026 GDP Forecast Raised to 4.6% by Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered has lifted its China 2026 GDP forecast to 4.6% from 4.3%, citing resilient exports and ongoing productivity improvements, according to a research note dated 1 December.

The bank said China’s export competitiveness has strengthened following easing trade tensions with the US after both sides reached a truce.

It added that better total factor productivity should further support the China 2026 GDP forecast, with the government expected to set a growth target between 4.5% and 5.0%.

This implies policymakers will continue applying supportive measures even as external demand and efficiency gains take on a larger role.

The upward revision follows stronger-than-expected shipments and signs that manufacturers are climbing the value chain.