The Philippines growth outlook has been revised lower by the International Monetary Fund, which now expects the economy to expand 5.1% in 2025 and 5.6% in 2026, both below the government’s 6%–7% target range. The IMF said the weaker Philippines growth outlook reflects higher US tariffs weighing on exports and investment, alongside global trade-policy uncertainty, corruption allegations linked to flood-control projects and more frequent climate shocks. While disinflation has b

The Asian Development Bank has lowered its growth outlook for the Philippines but still expects the country to be Southeast Asia’s second-fastest major economy. The ADB now projects GDP growth of 5% this year and 5.3% in 2026, both below government targets, after a weaker-than-expected 4% expansion in the third quarter and a 10.7% drop in January–September public works spending. The bank cited weak and corruption-hit infrastructure outlays and natural hazards as key drags. Ho

Fitch Ratings Philippines forecast puts GDP growth at 5.6% in 2025, aligning with the government’s 5.5%–6.5% target, underpinned by infrastructure investment, services exports, and remittance-driven consumption. The projection assumes easing inflation and interest rates after the BSP cut policy rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.75%. Fitch cautioned that global trade frictions and political uncertainty—following weaker midterm results for President Marcos Jr.’s allies and a